Archive

Archive for August 27th, 2008

Flatlining

August 27th, 2008 No comments

As I’ve been saying for months, we have missed the excesses of the subprime debacle. But our market is still very sluggish and there is a simple reason. Job growth is lousy. Unemployment remains below the national average but inches up every month. And job growth is essentially non-existent.

  • NM unemployment was 4.1% in July — up from 3.9% in June
  • Albuquerque’s figures are similar. 4.2% — up from 4.0%
  • Job growth state wide is just .9% for the past year and most of the gains are in the energy intensive area of Farmington.
  • By contrast, Albuquerque’s job growth for the past year is just about zero (.3%).

By far the biggest problem with our real estate market is a high inventory. No way are we going to reduce that with flat job growth.