Archive

Archive for March 6th, 2009

Looking Good (In Comparison)

March 6th, 2009 No comments

January unemployment statistics are finally out. (I suspect the short month is partly responsible for the delay — as well as needing to fill requests from the legislative branch which is in the middle of its 60-day session.) As usual with statistics, how you look at them matters a great deal.

  • New Mexico’s rate is 4.7% while the national rate is 7.6%.

Looks pretty good until you see the steadily increasing local numbers:

  • In January of ‘08, our rate was 3.8%.

Far more damaging, however, is the rate of job growth. Over the past year we are at a (1.0%). That is the first year of negative growth since 1991 — more than 17 years ago.

The Albuquerque/Rio Rancho area unemployment data mirrors the state:

  • January ‘09 rate is 5.5%
  • January ‘08 was 3.7%
  • Job growth was (0.9%). That is the fourth month in a row of year-to-year negative numbers and the rate of decline has been accelerating.